2026-06-30 19:02
Automated Market Intelligence
MorningSignal Research
Technology led the session at +2.76%, while Real Estate lagged at -1.98%, with SMH +3.78% setting the thematic tone.
S&P +0.78% QQQ +1.70% 2026-06-30
Market Signal
RISK ON
Score 0.80
Tape Source
Fallback
Data-derived commentary
Breakout Scan
15
Setups passing the model today
Platform
Daily · Weekly
Podcast and earnings feeds included
At A Glance
Market Snapshot
Core index performance and year-to-date context.
S&P 500
$746.77
+0.78% today · +9.89% YTD
Nasdaq 100
$736.40
+1.70% today · +20.39% YTD
Russell 2000
$300.45
+0.50% today · +21.27% YTD
Dow Jones
$522.39
+0.14% today · +8.82% YTD
Desk Read
Today's Tape
Sector commentary generated from the day’s market data and headline set.
Technology led the session at +2.76%, while Real Estate lagged at -1.98%, with SMH +3.78% setting the thematic tone.
Technology +2.8%
Technology led the sector leaderboard at +2.76% as the strongest large-cap gainers were APD +8.04%, MRVL +7.25%, INTC +6.01%.
Real Estate -2.0%
Real Estate was the weakest major group at -1.98% with pressure concentrated in SYK -4.74%, UBER -4.42%, COIN -3.60%.
AI / Tech — Semiconductors +3.8%
SMH moved +3.78% on the day and +5.44% over 5 days, giving the market a clear read on thematic leadership.
Factor & Regime +2.0%
Momentum led the factor complex at +2.03% while Low Vol trailed at -0.91%. Market signal registered RISK ON at +0.80.
Industry Leaders — Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals +6.6%
At the GICS sub-industry level, leadership came from Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals +6.60%, Semiconductor Materials & Equipment +5.86%, Electrical Components & Equipment +5.05%. Universe breadth: 61% of S&P 1500 names above their 50-day MA, 62% above the 200-day.
Industry Laggards — Packaged Foods & Meats -3.3%
Weakest sub-industries today: Packaged Foods & Meats -3.30%, Telecom Tower REITs -2.82%, Casinos & Gaming -2.55%.
Moving-Average Cross Events +0.0%
Industry 200d reclaims: Health Care Equipment, Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals, Building Products, Life Sciences Tools & Services, Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials; Industry 200d losses: Construction Materials, Homebuilding, Industrial REITs, Health Care Equipment; Industry EMA(12/26) bull crosses: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing, Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation, Rail Transportation, Specialized Consumer Services, Health Care REITs; Industry EMA(12/26) bear crosses: Automotive Parts & Equipment, Food Retail, Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods, Internet Services & Infrastructure, Aerospace & Defense.
Geopolitics +0.0%
12 active headlines tagged Geopolitics. Top items: [CNBC] Costco issues a lukewarm quarter, but delivers on the metric that matters most; [CNBC] Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey: Would have been at inflation target if not for Iran war
Fed / Macro +0.0%
9 active headlines tagged Fed/Macro. Top items: [CNBC] Cleveland Fed President Hammack says AI could fuel inflation, rate hikes may be necessary; [CNBC] Where to find 4% CD yields as Fed policy remains murky
AI / Tech +0.0%
12 active headlines tagged AI/Tech. Top items: [CNBC] Cleveland Fed President Hammack says AI could fuel inflation, rate hikes may be necessary; [CNBC] Micron stock jumps 15% as soaring prices from AI boom lead to quadrupling of revenue
Earnings Tape +0.0%
12 active headlines tagged Earnings. Top items: [CNBC] Darden Restaurants earnings beat estimates but Olive Garden growth weakens; [CNBC] AeroVironment soars 28% on earnings beat, backlog grows to $1.2 billion
Cross-Sector Linkage
The cross-sector tape is unambiguously risk-on. Cyclicals vs Defensives: Cyclicals (+1.01%) are leading Defensives (-1.57%) by 2.58pp. Risk appetite firm — the tape is paying for growth, leverage and operating cycle exposure. Discretionary vs Staples: XLY +0.14% vs XLP -1.54% (spread +1.68pp). Consumer is risk-on — the household balance-sheet trade is working. Semis vs Software (AI capex theme): SMH +3.78% vs IGV +0.79% — spread +2.99pp. Hardware/infrastructure leg of AI is bid — capex theme intact, hyperscaler spend cycle on.
Data-derived fallback commentary · Not financial advice
Signal & Macro
RISK ON
0.80
Risk Off Neutral Risk On
VIX 16.5 (falling) +0.75
Yield Curve +0.69% (flattening) +0.75
Credit HYG/IEF above 50d (+0.0%) +0.50
Breadth RSP/SPY above 50d (+1.7%) +1.00
Momentum SPY above 50d, above 200d +1.00
RISK ON with a score of +0.80, generated from the quantitative market signal inputs.
VIX
16.45
-15.60% over 5d
10Y Yield
4.42%
Treasury benchmark
2Y Yield
3.73%
Front-end rate signal
2s/10s
+69bps
Steepening / normal
Participation
Technology
+2.76%
Industrials
+1.35%
Materials
+0.34%
Cons. Discretionary
+0.14%
Financials
-0.20%
Communication Svcs
-0.70%
Overnight & Global
Fallback note from live macro data: VIX 16.45 (-15.60% over 5d), 10Y 4.42%, 2s/10s +69bps.
Leadership
High-Conviction Setups
View Full Scan
# Ticker Name Sector Score RS Base Trend Price vs 52W High Vol/Avg
1 ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Healthcare
82.5
100.0 50.0 100.0 $81.51 -0.6% 2.68x
2 ALGM Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. Technology
82.5
100.0 50.0 100.0 $69.62 +0.0% 2.02x
3 APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Healthcare
80.1
93.9 50.0 100.0 $41.03 -0.2% 2.35x
4 AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. Technology
79.5
100.0 41.5 100.0 $723.00 +0.0% 1.83x
5 GLW Corning Incorporated Technology
78.4
100.0 38.4 100.0 $255.43 -0.1% 1.77x
6 CAT Caterpillar Inc. Industrials
77.4
94.1 42.3 100.0 $1064.90 +0.0% 1.85x
7 SMTC Semtech Corporation Technology
75.7
100.0 30.5 100.0 $161.85 -7.4% 1.61x
8 MRCY Mercury Systems, Inc. Industrials
75.2
95.2 34.7 100.0 $122.33 +0.0% 1.69x
Coverage
Platform Modules
The research stack now spans daily tape, weekly synthesis, podcast intelligence, and earnings coverage.